Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.005880 0.006721 0.007694 0.008916 0.010430 0.012269 0.014713
2026-01-18 0.004768 0.005807 0.007129 0.008976 0.011574 0.015230 0.021042
2026-01-25 0.004034 0.005109 0.006558 0.008733 0.012075 0.017327 0.026990
2026-02-01 0.003477 0.004522 0.005990 0.008309 0.012116 0.018643 0.032236
2026-02-08 0.003060 0.004062 0.005514 0.007902 0.012041 0.019682 0.037488
2026-02-15 0.002855 0.003874 0.005401 0.008029 0.012876 0.022651 0.048951
2026-02-22 0.002621 0.003613 0.005139 0.007852 0.013101 0.024466 0.059055
2026-03-01 0.002408 0.003362 0.004858 0.007593 0.013100 0.025777 0.068998
2026-03-08 0.002238 0.003161 0.004637 0.007405 0.013198 0.027371 0.081849
2026-03-15 0.002162 0.003102 0.004642 0.007635 0.014243 0.031903 0.113842
2026-03-22 0.002110 0.003074 0.004695 0.007965 0.015608 0.038157 0.170531
2026-03-29 0.002064 0.003053 0.004759 0.008324 0.017159 0.046140 0.273228
2026-04-05 0.001958 0.002930 0.004637 0.008307 0.017835 0.051994 0.406150
2026-04-12 0.001866 0.002823 0.004537 0.008328 0.018655 0.059437 0.664151
2026-04-19 0.001754 0.002675 0.004343 0.008107 0.018708 0.063610 0.968447
2026-04-26 0.001636 0.002506 0.004096 0.007724 0.018163 0.064437 1.235295
2026-05-03 0.001530 0.002352 0.003866 0.007356 0.017583 0.064777 1.559918
2026-05-10 0.001484 0.002304 0.003838 0.007471 0.018630 0.075991 3.960328
2026-05-17 0.001414 0.002207 0.003707 0.007311 0.018694 0.081230 8.215490
2026-05-24 0.001342 0.002104 0.003554 0.007077 0.018434 0.084066 16.775394
2026-05-31 0.001282 0.002018 0.003431 0.006907 0.018374 0.088657 56.964765
2026-06-07 0.001259 0.002003 0.003452 0.007115 0.019841 0.109343 NaN
2026-06-14 0.001246 0.002002 0.003503 0.007413 0.021828 0.142040 NaN